Strategic advice for decision-making under conflict based on observed behaviour

作者:

Highlights:

• An Advice function is developed to assist real-time decision-making.

• The function provides: expected value, probability of opponent’s responses, and opponent’s reachable states.

• The information is highly relevant to decision-makers and analysts involved in the conflict.

• A small case study is used to illustrate the applicability of the methods.

摘要

•An Advice function is developed to assist real-time decision-making.•The function provides: expected value, probability of opponent’s responses, and opponent’s reachable states.•The information is highly relevant to decision-makers and analysts involved in the conflict.•A small case study is used to illustrate the applicability of the methods.

论文关键词:Decision-making,Graph Model for Conflict Resolution,Inverse engineering,Game theory,Preferences

论文评审过程:Received 3 November 2017, Revised 22 February 2018, Accepted 5 March 2018, Available online 30 March 2018, Version of Record 30 March 2018.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2018.03.031