Modeling right-skewed financial data streams: A likelihood inference based on the generalized Birnbaum–Saunders mixture model

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Finite mixture models have recently been considered for analyzing positive support economical data streams with non-normal features. In this paper, a new mixture model based on the novel class of generalized Birnbaum–Saunders distributions is proposed to enhance strength and flexibility in modeling heterogeneous lifetime data. Some characteristics and properties of this mixture model are outlined. By presenting a convenient hierarchical representation, a mathematically elegant and computationally tractable EM-type algorithm is adopted for computing maximum likelihood estimates. Theoretical formulae of well-known risk measures referring to the class of generalized Birnbaum–Saunders distributions are derived. Finally, the utility of the postulated methodology is illustrated with some real-world data examples.

论文关键词:Birnbaum–Saunders distribution,Finite mixture model,Normal mean-variance model,Risk measurement,Value-at-risk,Tail-Value-at-risk

论文评审过程:Received 14 August 2019, Revised 18 January 2020, Accepted 2 February 2020, Available online 25 February 2020, Version of Record 25 February 2020.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2020.125109