Assessing methodologies for intelligent bankruptcy prediction

摘要

Bankruptcy prediction is one of the most important business decision-making problems. Intelligent techniques have been employed in order to develop models capable of predicting business failure cases. The present article provides a systematic literature review of the field. As opposed to previous reviews which concentrate on the classification methods, this study adopts a much broader approach to the bankruptcy prediction problem. The survey is articulated around six major axes which cover all the range of issues related to bankruptcy prediction. These axes are the definition of main research objectives, the employed classification methods, performance metrics issues, the input data and data sets, feature selection and input vectors and finally, the interpretation of the models and the extraction of domain knowledge. The findings and employed methodologies of the collected papers are categorized, presented and assessed according to these axes. The ultimate goal is to detect weaknesses and omissions and to highlight research opportunities. We hope that future researchers will find this survey useful in their attempt to orientate their efforts and to locate interesting topics for further research.