Improving the performance of fuzzy rules-based forecasters through application of FCM algorithm

作者:Claudio Paulo Faustino, Camila Paiva Novaes, Carlos Alberto M. Pinheiro, Otávio A. Carpinteiro

摘要

Prediction models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been widely used in Time Series Forecasting in several areas. They are often fuzzy models or neural networks. This paper describes the development of neural and fuzzy models for forecasting time series of practical examples, and shows the comparisons of results between models, including the results of statistical modeling. The use of data clustering algorithms like Fuzzy C-Means is considered in fuzzy models.

论文关键词:Time series, Neural networks, Fuzzy logic, Clustering, Fuzzy C-Means , Holt Winters method

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论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-011-9308-9