Predicting the listing statuses of Chinese-listed companies using decision trees combined with an improved filter feature selection method

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摘要

Predicting the listing statuses of Chinese-listed companies (PLSCLC) is an important and complex problem for investors in China. There is a large quantity of information related to each company’s listing status. We propose an improved filter feature selection method to select effective features for predicting the listing statuses of Chinese-listed companies. Due to the practical concerns of analysts in finance about the performance and interpretability of the prediction models, models based on decision trees C4.5 and C5.0 are employed and are compared with several other widely used models. To evaluate the models’ robustness with time, the models are also tested under rolling time windows. The empirical results demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed feature selection method and decision tree C5.0 model.

论文关键词:Multi-class classification,Listing-status prediction,Decision tree C4.5,Decision tree C5.0

论文评审过程:Received 23 December 2016, Revised 28 April 2017, Accepted 3 May 2017, Available online 4 May 2017, Version of Record 25 May 2017.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2017.05.003