Expert systems: Present and future

摘要

This paper aims to forecast the evolution of expert systems over the coming 5–10 years. To do so, the authors introduce a conceptual model that identifies four major areas that contribute to expert systems. The paper discusses advances in each of these four areas and relates these to changes in expert systems technology. The paper then ties quantitative trends with these qualitative advances to anticipate what expert systems will be like in the 1990s.