Nonlinear neural network forecasting model for stock index option price: Hybrid GJR–GARCH approach

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摘要

This study integrated new hybrid asymmetric volatility approach into artificial neural networks option-pricing model to improve forecasting ability of derivative securities price. Owing to combines the new hybrid asymmetric volatility method can be reduced the stochastic and nonlinearity of the error term sequence and captured the asymmetric volatility simultaneously. Hence, in the ANNS option-pricing model, the results demonstrate that Grey-GJR–GARCH volatility provides higher predictability than other volatility approaches.

论文关键词:Artificial neural networks,GARCH,Grey forecasting model,Option-pricing model

论文评审过程:Available online 17 October 2007.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2007.09.056