Bayesian network modeling of Port State Control inspection findings and ship accident involvement
作者:
Highlights:
• Bayesian network models of Port State Control findings and accidents are proposed.
• NPC algorithm outperforms score-based greedy search in learning the model.
• A hidden variable representing the complete ship system and its safety is introduced.
• Models with a binary system safety variable is preferred over the other alternatives.
• Structural conditions is the most informative deficiency type for accident probability.
摘要
•Bayesian network models of Port State Control findings and accidents are proposed.•NPC algorithm outperforms score-based greedy search in learning the model.•A hidden variable representing the complete ship system and its safety is introduced.•Models with a binary system safety variable is preferred over the other alternatives.•Structural conditions is the most informative deficiency type for accident probability.
论文关键词:Maritime traffic accidents,Bayesian networks,Port State Control,Hidden variables,Maritime traffic safety
论文评审过程:Available online 2 September 2013.
论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2013.08.060