Bayesian network model of maritime safety management

作者:

Highlights:

• Bayesian network model of maritime safety management is proposed.

• Model provides an expert-based representation of maritime safety management norms.

• The paper links the safety management to three maritime traffic safety indicators.

• The probability of no poor safety management subareas is only 0.13.

• Safety management subareas most likely to be good are safety policy and training.

摘要

•Bayesian network model of maritime safety management is proposed.•Model provides an expert-based representation of maritime safety management norms.•The paper links the safety management to three maritime traffic safety indicators.•The probability of no poor safety management subareas is only 0.13.•Safety management subareas most likely to be good are safety policy and training.

论文关键词:Safety management,The ISM Code,Bayesian networks,Safety indicators,Maritime traffic safety,Expert elicitation

论文评审过程:Available online 7 July 2014.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2014.06.029