On the use of Harrell’s C for clinical risk prediction via random survival forests

作者:

Highlights:

• Harrell’s C is proposed as a split criterion in random survival forests.

• Split points of continuous predictor variables differ substantially between Harrell’s C and log-rank splitting.

• The log-rank statistic has a stronger end-cut preference than Harrell’s C.

• Harrell’s C outperforms log-rank splitting in smaller scale studies.

• Harrell’s C outperforms log-rank splitting if the censoring rate is high.

摘要

•Harrell’s C is proposed as a split criterion in random survival forests.•Split points of continuous predictor variables differ substantially between Harrell’s C and log-rank splitting.•The log-rank statistic has a stronger end-cut preference than Harrell’s C.•Harrell’s C outperforms log-rank splitting in smaller scale studies.•Harrell’s C outperforms log-rank splitting if the censoring rate is high.

论文关键词:Concordance index,Event history analysis,Log-rank statistic,Random survival forests,Risk prediction,Split rules

论文评审过程:Received 13 March 2016, Revised 11 July 2016, Accepted 12 July 2016, Available online 16 July 2016, Version of Record 22 July 2016.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2016.07.018