Forecasting the overnight return direction of stock market index combining global market indices: A multiple-branch deep learning approach

作者:

Highlights:

• We focus on the daily close-to-open return (RC−O) of stock market index (SMI).

• We propose a novel MBCNN to forecast the direction of daily RC−O.

• Multiple convolutional units are used to extract features from intraregional SMIs.

• GA is used to determine the optimal structure and hyper-parameters of MBCNN.

• Performance of the proposed MBCNN is better than other competing models.

摘要

•We focus on the daily close-to-open return (RC−O) of stock market index (SMI).•We propose a novel MBCNN to forecast the direction of daily RC−O.•Multiple convolutional units are used to extract features from intraregional SMIs.•GA is used to determine the optimal structure and hyper-parameters of MBCNN.•Performance of the proposed MBCNN is better than other competing models.

论文关键词:Stock market index,Overnight return,Deep learning,Genetic algorithm

论文评审过程:Received 27 July 2021, Revised 30 November 2021, Accepted 1 January 2022, Available online 19 January 2022, Version of Record 21 January 2022.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.116506