Multi-stage and multi-topology analysis of ship traffic complexity for probabilistic collision detection

作者：

Highlights：

• Propose a new conflict detection method to calibrate the conflict criticality of ships.

• Apply a traffic complexity matrix to reveal the topological and evolutionary features.

• Introduce an FCI-based approach to support traffic complexity pattern assessment.

• Demonstrate the new model performance through scenario analysis and validation.

摘要

•Propose a new conflict detection method to calibrate the conflict criticality of ships.•Apply a traffic complexity matrix to reveal the topological and evolutionary features.•Introduce an FCI-based approach to support traffic complexity pattern assessment.•Demonstrate the new model performance through scenario analysis and validation.

论文关键词：Maritime risk,Ship traffic complexity,Spatial-temporal traffic dynamics,Network topology,Situation evolution,AIS data

论文评审过程：Received 23 May 2022, Revised 12 September 2022, Accepted 20 September 2022, Available online 24 September 2022, Version of Record 29 September 2022.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118890