Modeling, prediction and analysis of new energy vehicle sales in China using a variable-structure grey model

作者:

Highlights:

• A new grey prediction model, TDGM(1,1,r,ξ), is constructed.

• The value range of r in TDGM(1,1,r,ξ) is expanded to all real numbers.

• The scientific construction of NEV sales in China is realized by TDGM(1,1,r,ξ).

• The NEV sales in China in the next 10 years are predicted effectively.

• Substantial measures are provided for the development of China's NEV industry.

摘要

•A new grey prediction model, TDGM(1,1,r,ξ), is constructed.•The value range of r in TDGM(1,1,r,ξ) is expanded to all real numbers.•The scientific construction of NEV sales in China is realized by TDGM(1,1,r,ξ).•The NEV sales in China in the next 10 years are predicted effectively.•Substantial measures are provided for the development of China's NEV industry.

论文关键词:New energy vehicles (NEVs) of China,Grey prediction model with a variable structure,Extension of real number field of the grey accumulating order,Sales prediction and analysis,Suggestions for the development of China’s NEV industry

论文评审过程:Received 4 May 2022, Revised 8 September 2022, Accepted 18 September 2022, Available online 22 September 2022, Version of Record 7 October 2022.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2022.118879