Temporal distribution of recorded magnitudes in Serbia earthquake catalog
作者：
Highlights：
• Hypothesis of random temporal distribution of earthquake magnitudes is tested.
• Piece-wise low cross-prediction error confirms stationarity of magnitude sequence.
• High zeroth order error independent of advancing time imply random distribution.
• Low determinism factor indicates random sequence of recorded magnitudes.
• Randomness is implied by majority of autocorrelations within 95% confidence limits.
摘要
•Hypothesis of random temporal distribution of earthquake magnitudes is tested.•Piece-wise low cross-prediction error confirms stationarity of magnitude sequence.•High zeroth order error independent of advancing time imply random distribution.•Low determinism factor indicates random sequence of recorded magnitudes.•Randomness is implied by majority of autocorrelations within 95% confidence limits.
论文关键词：Statistical seismology,Earthquakes,Nonlinear time series analysis,Surrogate data testing,Autocorrelation,Temporal distribution
论文评审过程：Available online 8 August 2014.
论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2014.07.063
