The stochastic SEIR model before extinction: Computational approaches

作者：

Highlights：

• Efficient computational procedures are proposed for the stochastic SEIR epidemic model.

• The ratio-of-expectations and the extinction time distributions are computed recursively.

• The results are applied for the study of an outbreak of Marburg fever.

摘要

•Efficient computational procedures are proposed for the stochastic SEIR epidemic model.•The ratio-of-expectations and the extinction time distributions are computed recursively.•The results are applied for the study of an outbreak of Marburg fever.

论文关键词：Stochastic SEIR epidemic model,Extinction time,Ratio-of-expectations distribution

论文评审过程：Received 17 September 2014, Revised 30 March 2015, Accepted 28 May 2015, Available online 25 June 2015, Version of Record 25 June 2015.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2015.05.141