Analysis of the vectorial capacity of vector-borne diseases using moment-generating functions

作者：

Highlights：

• A random process describes the vectorial capacity of a mosquito species.

• Moment-generating functions permit obtaining the probability distribution.

• Commonly used distributions result in the well-known mean vectorial capacity.

• A small mean does not guarantee significantly low probability of high values.

摘要

•A random process describes the vectorial capacity of a mosquito species.•Moment-generating functions permit obtaining the probability distribution.•Commonly used distributions result in the well-known mean vectorial capacity.•A small mean does not guarantee significantly low probability of high values.

论文关键词：Vectorial capacity,Mathematical epidemiology,Moment-generating functions

论文评审过程：Received 14 July 2015, Revised 18 November 2015, Accepted 13 May 2016, Available online 14 June 2016, Version of Record 14 June 2016.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2016.05.026