A time-delayed epidemic model for Ebola disease transmission

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摘要

In this paper, we propose a delayed mathematical model for the transmission of Ebola in humans. We consider the transmission of infection between the living humans and from infectious corpses to the living individuals in which the latent period of Ebola is incorporated. We identify the basic reproduction number R0 for the model, prove that the disease-free equilibrium is always globally asymptotically stable when R0 < 1, the disease is persistence and a unique endemic equilibrium exists when R0 > 1. We show that the endemic steady state is locally asymptotically stable under certain condition and globally asymptotically stable in a special case of the model. Numerical simulations are provided to demonstrate and complement the theoretical results.

论文关键词:Time-delay,Differential equation,Dynamics,Stability,Persistence

论文评审过程:Received 10 February 2016, Revised 30 March 2016, Accepted 22 May 2016, Available online 20 July 2016, Version of Record 20 July 2016.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2016.05.043