Assessing reappearance factors of H7N9 avian influenza in China
作者：
Highlights：
• The model considers the seasonal migration of bird and periodic decay rate of virus in environment.
• Both temperature cycle and closing and reopening markets can lead to the observed recurrence.
• Migratory birds have little or no effect on local epidemic spread.
• Closing markets is the most effective measure to control the epidemic to be at a low level.
摘要
•The model considers the seasonal migration of bird and periodic decay rate of virus in environment.•Both temperature cycle and closing and reopening markets can lead to the observed recurrence.•Migratory birds have little or no effect on local epidemic spread.•Closing markets is the most effective measure to control the epidemic to be at a low level.
论文关键词：H7N9,Dynamical model,Migration of birds,Temperature,Live poultry trading markets,Reappearance factors
论文评审过程：Received 26 July 2016, Revised 14 December 2016, Accepted 2 April 2017, Available online 19 April 2017, Version of Record 19 April 2017.
论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2017.04.007
