Disease spreading on populations structured by groups

作者:

Highlights:

• A spreading disease model is set for a population in cellular automata.

• Individuals’ movements create groups where the disease is transmitted.

• The average group size is a good indicator for disease spreading strength.

• Based on evolutionary graph theory, the temperature of the lattice is proposed.

• Temperature is also a good indicator of the disease spreading strength.

摘要

•A spreading disease model is set for a population in cellular automata.•Individuals’ movements create groups where the disease is transmitted.•The average group size is a good indicator for disease spreading strength.•Based on evolutionary graph theory, the temperature of the lattice is proposed.•Temperature is also a good indicator of the disease spreading strength.

论文关键词:Basic reproduction number,Epidemiology,Evolutionary graph theory,Probabilistic cellular automata,SIR model

论文评审过程:Received 31 January 2018, Revised 4 January 2019, Accepted 23 January 2019, Available online 22 February 2019, Version of Record 22 February 2019.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2019.01.055