Estimating Lyapunov exponents on a noisy environment by global and local Jacobian indirect algorithms

作者:

Highlights:

• Two new computational algorithms are proposed for estimating the Lyapunov exponents from time series data in order to test the null hypothesis of a chaotic behavior.

• The results obtained provide robust evidence that the Jacobian indirect methods provide better estimates than traditional direct methods in all the experiments we have conducted.

• We have shown empirically that the algorithms proposed are robust to the presence of (small) measurement errors because the results obtained are comparable to those which are noise free.

• The empirical size of the algorithms proposed decreased and the empirical power increased as the sample size increased which means that our hypothesis tests are consistent and reliable.

• This paper opens a new research line where new contributions may appear considering new machine learning methods and deep learning algorithms for estimating the Lyapunov exponents from time series data.

摘要

•Two new computational algorithms are proposed for estimating the Lyapunov exponents from time series data in order to test the null hypothesis of a chaotic behavior.•The results obtained provide robust evidence that the Jacobian indirect methods provide better estimates than traditional direct methods in all the experiments we have conducted.•We have shown empirically that the algorithms proposed are robust to the presence of (small) measurement errors because the results obtained are comparable to those which are noise free.•The empirical size of the algorithms proposed decreased and the empirical power increased as the sample size increased which means that our hypothesis tests are consistent and reliable.•This paper opens a new research line where new contributions may appear considering new machine learning methods and deep learning algorithms for estimating the Lyapunov exponents from time series data.

论文关键词:Chaotic time series,Lyapunov exponents,Jacobian indirect methods,Global and local neural net models,Local polynomial kernel models,Local neural net kernel models

论文评审过程:Received 1 May 2022, Revised 4 August 2022, Accepted 17 August 2022, Available online 27 August 2022, Version of Record 27 August 2022.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2022.127498