Distribution forecasting of high frequency time series

摘要

The availability of high frequency data sets in finance has allowed the use of very data intensive techniques using large data sets in forecasting. An algorithm requiring fast k-NN type search has been implemented using AURA, a binary neural network based upon Correlation Matrix Memories. This work has also constructed probability distribution forecasts, the volume of data allowing this to be done in a nonparametric manner. In assistance to standard statistical error measures the implementation of simulations has allowed actual measures of profit to be calculated.