A bio-inspired crime simulation model

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摘要

In this paper we describe a multiagent crime simulation model that resorts to concepts of self-organizing bio-inspired systems, in particular, of the Ant Colony Optimization algorithm. As the matching between simulated and real crime data distributions depends upon the tuning of some control parameters of the simulation model (in particular, of the initial places where criminals start out), we have modeled the calibration of the simulation as an optimization problem. The solution for the allocation of criminals into gateways is also undertaken by a bio-inspired method, namely, a customized Genetic Algorithm. We show that this approach allows for the automatic discovery of gateway configurations that, when employed in the simulation, produce crime distributions that are statistically close to those observed in real data.

论文关键词:Crime simulation,Bio-inspired systems,Ant colony optimization,Genetic algorithms,Social networks,Multiagent simulation

论文评审过程:Received 20 August 2008, Revised 3 August 2009, Accepted 30 August 2009, Available online 8 September 2009.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2009.08.008