News-based trading strategies

作者:

Highlights:

• Financial disclosures are the main source for the decision-making in finance.

• Sentiment analysis of financial disclosures can provide decision support.

• We design and compare different strategies for news trading.

• These can outperform our benchmarks in terms of profits but at the cost of risk.

• Especially viable approaches are supervised and reinforcement learning.

摘要

The marvel of markets lies in the fact that dispersed information is instantaneously processed and used to adjust the price of goods, services and assets. Financial markets are particularly efficient when it comes to processing information; such information is typically embedded in textual news that is then interpreted by investors. Quite recently, researchers have started to automatically determine news sentiment in order to explain stock price movements. Interestingly, this so-called news sentiment works fairly well in explaining stock returns. In this paper, we design trading strategies that utilize textual news in order to obtain profits on the basis of novel information entering the market. We thus propose approaches for automated decision-making based on supervised and reinforcement learning. Altogether, we demonstrate how news-based data can be incorporated into an investment system.

论文关键词:Decision support,Financial news,Trading strategies,Text mining,Sentiment analysis,Trading simulation

论文评审过程:Received 2 December 2015, Revised 29 June 2016, Accepted 29 June 2016, Available online 4 July 2016, Version of Record 10 September 2016.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2016.06.020