Directed disease networks to facilitate multiple-disease risk assessment modeling

作者:

Highlights:

• Applications of multiple-disease risk predictive modeling support medical professionals' decision-making at the point of need.

• A directed network considering temporal disease relationships improves multiple disease prediction performance.

• Leveraging both directed network and recommendation system techniques substantially enhances models' performance.

摘要

We investigate multiple disease risk prediction modeling, aimed at assessing future disease risks for an individual who is ready for discharge after hospitalization. We propose a novel framework that combines directed disease network and recommendation system techniques to substantially enhance multiple disease risk predictive modeling. Firstly, a directed disease network considering temporal information is developed. Then based on this directed disease network, we look into different disease risk score computing approaches. We validate the proposed approaches with two real-world datasets from two independent hospitals. The predicted results can be promisingly utilized as a reference for medical experts to offer effective healthcare guidance for both inpatients and outpatients. The proposed framework can also be utilized for developing an innovative tool that helps individuals create and maintain a better healthcare plan over time.

论文关键词:Multiple-disease risk prediction,Health risk assessment,Disability adjusted life year,Directed network,Disease temporal relations

论文评审过程:Received 16 April 2019, Revised 22 October 2019, Accepted 22 October 2019, Available online 23 October 2019, Version of Record 3 January 2020.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2019.113171