Turn to the Internet First? Using Online Medical Behavioral Data to Forecast COVID-19 Epidemic Trend

作者:

Highlights:

• Online medical consultation (OMC) data is a novel predictor to forecast the trend of emerging infectious disease.

• Online medical search data can predict the confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic, but the predicative power is weaker than OMC.

• Online medical appointment data fails to predict the confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic.

• Integrating online medical behavioral into existing disease surveillance systems is highly needed.

摘要

•Online medical consultation (OMC) data is a novel predictor to forecast the trend of emerging infectious disease.•Online medical search data can predict the confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic, but the predicative power is weaker than OMC.•Online medical appointment data fails to predict the confirmed cases of COVID-19 pandemic.•Integrating online medical behavioral into existing disease surveillance systems is highly needed.

论文关键词:COVID-19,pandemic,online medical consultation,eHealth,telehealth

论文评审过程:Received 31 July 2020, Revised 21 December 2020, Accepted 26 December 2020, Available online 29 December 2020, Version of Record 18 January 2021.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ipm.2020.102486