A new approach and insightful financial diagnoses for the IT industry based on a hybrid MADM model

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摘要

Financial performance is vital for information technology (IT) companies to survive intense global competition. Because of the complexity in the business environment and the rapidly advancing technologies, companies lack specific guidance to understand the implicit relationship among crucial financial indicators for improving prospects in a contextual approach. To resolve the aforementioned concern, this study proposed a new approach by combining the variable consistency dominance-based rough set approach (VC-DRSA) with the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) technique to explore the complex relationship among financial variables and improve future performances. In addition, a fuzzy inference system was devised on the basis of the findings of the VC-DRSA and DEMATEL technique to examine granulized knowledge and implications. A group of real IT companies listed on the Taiwan stock market were used as an empirical case to present the benefits of the new approach. The results generated a set of decision rules that can be used for forecasting future performance prospects and diagnosing the directional influences of crucial variables to gain insights; certain strong decision rules were further examined using fuzzy inference to verify the obtained implications. The findings contribute to the financial applications of decision-making science and computational intelligence in practice.

论文关键词:Financial performance (FP),Fundamental analysis (FA),Variable consistency dominance-based rough set approach (VC-DRSA),Decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL),Fuzzy inference system (FIS),Multiple attribute decision making (MADM)

论文评审过程:Received 13 November 2014, Revised 18 April 2015, Accepted 20 April 2015, Available online 4 May 2015, Version of Record 16 July 2015.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2015.04.024