An improved Dempster–Shafer approach to construction safety risk perception

作者:

Highlights:

• A novel improved D–S approach to construction safety risk perception is developed.

• A new defuzzification method, Centre of Distribution (COD), is proposed.

• A confidence indicator is put forward to measure reliability of risk perception result.

• It is capable of synthesizing multi-source information and identifying global sensitivities.

• It can deal with decision problems with uncertainty, fuzziness, conflicts, and even errors.

摘要

•A novel improved D–S approach to construction safety risk perception is developed.•A new defuzzification method, Centre of Distribution (COD), is proposed.•A confidence indicator is put forward to measure reliability of risk perception result.•It is capable of synthesizing multi-source information and identifying global sensitivities.•It can deal with decision problems with uncertainty, fuzziness, conflicts, and even errors.

论文关键词:Safety risk perception,Tunnel-induced building damage,D–S evidence theory,Monte-Carlo simulation,Information fusion,Sensitivity analysis

论文评审过程:Received 13 April 2016, Revised 30 May 2017, Accepted 8 June 2017, Available online 9 June 2017, Version of Record 24 July 2017.

论文官网地址:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2017.06.014