A novel grey prediction model for seasonal time series

作者：

Highlights：

• A new discrete grey seasonal model with time trends is put forward.

• Some properties of the new model are explored to provide more information.

• Four cases with different trends are utilized to verify the new model’s efficacy.

• The new model possesses higher accuracy and stability than other competitors.

摘要

•A new discrete grey seasonal model with time trends is put forward.•Some properties of the new model are explored to provide more information.•Four cases with different trends are utilized to verify the new model’s efficacy.•The new model possesses higher accuracy and stability than other competitors.

论文关键词：Grey prediction model,Grey system,Time trends,Seasonal time series

论文评审过程：Received 20 August 2020, Revised 11 June 2021, Accepted 1 August 2021, Available online 4 August 2021, Version of Record 12 August 2021.

论文官网地址：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2021.107363